445 days left
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$138.8K
2,088 trades
Smart Whales
75
of 289 traders · 4 on both sides
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
10 MARKETS · $1.50M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs61 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 23 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%
+3 new YES$47+10 new NO$1.0K
0 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$51 of $13.2K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $203·NO $13.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$710
Avg Win Rate
70.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$95(-13.4%)
Whales
18
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 3¢·3,219 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $99 · WR 72.2%
G
groth◆Proven🥈
Entry 3¢·905.1 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $27 · WR 65.0%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich🥉
Entry 10¢·214 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $21 · WR 59.4%
O
overlay69
Entry 24¢·87 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $21 · WR 55.7%
T
Tee1000
Entry 9¢·201.5 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $18 · WR 81.8%
G
GingerMcKennahedged
Entry 10¢·174.6 shares·also $112 on NO
Invested
$17
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $17 · WR 84.9%
L
Long-Stage
Entry 1¢·1,494.1 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $13 · WR 57.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 10¢·90 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $9 · WR 79.6%
J
JordanMooneyhedged
Entry 9¢·50.1 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 85.7%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 3¢·114.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 66.8%
Showing top 10 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$25.0K
Avg Win Rate
76.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$10.1K(+40.4%)
Whales
61
L
ladida33🥇
Entry 86¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$615
+$615INV $4.3K · WR 72.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·7,829.6 shares
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$3702
+$3702INV $4.0K · WR 85.9%
A
Avamax🥉
Entry 97¢·3,044.3 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $2.9K · WR 80.2%
D
DerDon◆Proven
Entry 97¢·2,451.3 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $2.4K · WR 56.5%
I
imjustalarp
Entry 90¢·1,771.3 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$133
+$133INV $1.6K · WR 60.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 60¢·1,703.8 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$637
+$637INV $1.0K · WR 79.6%
L
Light-Rubbish
Entry 86¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$855
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$123
+$123INV $855 · WR 66.7%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 54¢·1,436.7 shares
Invested
$773
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$631
+$631INV $773 · WR 83.8%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 58¢·1,275.5 shares
Invested
$741
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$506
+$506INV $741 · WR 88.2%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·1,367.7 shares
Invested
$684
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$653
+$653INV $684 · WR 79.2%
Showing top 10 of 61
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