Geopolitics80 days left
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$762.1K
2,735 trades
Smart Whales
123
of 550 traders · 1 on both sides
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
2 MARKETS · $1.34M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs103 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 9% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 86 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$2.7K+28 new NO$38.1K
$464 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$0 of $130.1K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $11.9K·NO $118.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$14.5K
Avg Win Rate
66.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$346(-2.4%)
Whales
21
M
meagainsttheworld◆Proven🥇
Entry 7¢·177,309.4 shares
Invested
$11.7K
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
+$1589
+$1589INV $11.7K · WR 64.8%
L
LulaVaiPerder🥈
Entry 94¢·2,287.2 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-1986
$-1986INV $2.2K · WR 75.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉hedged
Entry 6¢·3,376.1 shares·also $1.1K on NO
Invested
$194
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $194 · WR 57.7%
J
justT
Entry 7¢·999.9 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $70 · WR 59.4%
C
Ccc
Entry 13¢·480.1 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $61 · WR 59.7%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 6¢·974.1 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $58 · WR 55.3%
S
SDODNDPD
Entry 13¢·76.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $10 · WR 73.8%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 6¢·109 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 68.2%
B
biloute
Entry 6¢·75 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 76.0%
G
Goal100usdt
Entry 8¢·25 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 62.9%
Showing top 10 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$123.4K
Avg Win Rate
84.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$323(-0.3%)
Whales
103
C
charlatta🥇
Entry 94¢·28,000 shares
Invested
$26.2K
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-300
$-300INV $26.2K · WR 87.3%
M
MrNoItAll🥈
Entry 93¢·22,406.8 shares
Invested
$20.9K
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
$-151
$-151INV $20.9K · WR 89.6%
T
TheRealWarMonger🥉
Entry 93¢·20,010 shares
Invested
$18.6K
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
$-130
$-130INV $18.6K · WR 81.5%
K
kevtp
Entry 93¢·10,000 shares
Invested
$9.3K
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $9.3K · WR 81.0%
T
Talophex
Entry 92¢·6,359.1 shares
Invested
$5.9K
Win Rate
91.6%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $5.9K · WR 91.6%
A
aviato
Entry 92¢·5,366.4 shares
Invested
$4.9K
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $4.9K · WR 91.3%
A
Avamax
Entry 92¢·4,423.9 shares
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $4.1K · WR 80.2%
H
Hnessen
Entry 92¢·3,778.8 shares
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $3.5K · WR 67.7%
T
TerreMoto
Entry 93¢·3,500 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $3.3K · WR 81.3%
A
AyatollahDollar
Entry 91¢·3,484.4 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $3.2K · WR 82.8%
Showing top 10 of 103
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