dfs00 · Polymarket wallet 0xe665…7d42

Wallet snapshot

dfs00 has made 247 trades on Polymarket across 20 markets, $260K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (70%) and crypto (5%). On 18 resolved markets the win rate is 88.9%, lifetime P&L +$14K. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Jul 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $21K · 83¢ → 83¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $8,417 · 90¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No · +$566 · Sep 1, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No · +$2,500 · Aug 4, 2026
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No · +$67 · Aug 1, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No · +$87 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes · +$300 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?No · +$114 · Jul 18, 2026
• Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No · +$460 · Jul 7, 2026
• Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?No · +$375 · Jul 4, 2026
• Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?No · +$488 · Jul 4, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No · +$511 · Jul 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.