YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$27.12M
145,400 trades
Smart Whales
2884
of 21,111 traders · 12 on both sides
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2 MARKETS · $27.14M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1377 YESvs1519 NO
48%53%
53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 298 YES vs 504 NO taking a side · 4 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+24 new YES$1.2K+34 new NO$13.0K
$499 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1.2K of $2.12M is hedged across different prices by 12 wallets. True directional: YES $87.9K·NO $2.03MYES Team
Total Invested
$677.9K
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$187.0K(-27.6%)
Whales
1,377
7
0x7177a7f5...🥇hedged
Entry 76¢·69,672.9 shares·also $35.5K on NO
Invested
$53.0K
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-49153
$-49153INV $53.0K · WR 67.6%
S
schizohedgehog🥈
Entry 96¢·47,999.6 shares
Invested
$45.8K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-43200
$-43200INV $45.8K · WR 85.2%
K
kinderSman🥉hedged
Entry 28¢·79,799.8 shares·also $63.2K on NO
Invested
$22.3K
Win Rate
96.1%
Position P&L
$-17900
$-17900INV $22.3K · WR 96.1%
I
ImJustKen
Entry 17¢·117,386.4 shares
Invested
$20.1K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-13616
$-13616INV $20.1K · WR 61.2%
M
Mori1221
Entry 33¢·32,697.6 shares
Invested
$10.9K
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-9074
$-9074INV $10.9K · WR 56.4%
B
baseddhedged
Entry 15¢·69,860.7 shares·also $57.7K on NO
Invested
$10.6K
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-6754
$-6754INV $10.6K · WR 77.5%
Q
Quick-Trial
Entry 28¢·37,500.2 shares
Invested
$10.3K
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-8267
$-8267INV $10.3K · WR 63.8%
N
Nautical-Mechanism
Entry 62¢·16,131.3 shares
Invested
$10.0K
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-9113
$-9113INV $10.0K · WR 63.6%
M
Mira911
Entry 61¢·11,804.5 shares
Invested
$7.2K
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
$-6551
$-6551INV $7.2K · WR 86.7%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 33¢·10,970.4 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-3064
$-3064INV $3.7K · WR 69.4%
Showing top 10 of 1,377
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.49M
Avg Win Rate
75.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$370.5K(+14.9%)
Whales
1,519
D
denizz◆Proven🥇
Entry 76¢·492,076.8 shares
Invested
$375.5K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$89496
+$89496INV $375.5K · WR 68.6%
E
Erasmus.◆Proven🥈
Entry 74¢·285,170.7 shares
Invested
$211.6K
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
+$57895
+$57895INV $211.6K · WR 70.7%
A
aff3🥉
Entry 88¢·176,290.4 shares
Invested
$155.9K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$10695
+$10695INV $155.9K · WR 79.2%
S
scout
Entry 93¢·110,233.7 shares
Invested
$102.5K
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$1654
+$1654INV $102.5K · WR 92.0%
K
kinderSmanhedged
Entry 73¢·86,425.7 shares·also $22.3K on YES
Invested
$63.2K
Win Rate
96.1%
Position P&L
+$18502
+$18502INV $63.2K · WR 96.1%
L
Llalalala
Entry 94¢·65,290 shares
Invested
$61.4K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$327
+$327INV $61.4K · WR 65.8%
T
TeemuPukki
Entry 77¢·78,200 shares
Invested
$60.4K
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
+$13508
+$13508INV $60.4K · WR 80.4%
B
baseddhedged
Entry 83¢·69,860.7 shares·also $10.6K on YES
Invested
$57.7K
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$8323
+$8323INV $57.7K · WR 77.5%
A
Anjun◆Proven
Entry 84¢·59,844.9 shares
Invested
$50.0K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$6543
+$6543INV $50.0K · WR 58.8%
V
Vilgefortz
Entry 93¢·50,000 shares
Invested
$46.5K
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
+$723
+$723INV $46.5K · WR 75.3%
Showing top 10 of 1,519
Smart Whale Trades
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