hopedieslast · Polymarket wallet 0x5739…5f1a

+$260,140 lifetime P&L · 56.5% win rate · 214 resolved markets · 0x5739ddf8672627ce076eff5f444610a250075f1a

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Wallet snapshot

hopedieslast has made 12,126 trades on Polymarket across 259 markets, $6.1M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (95%). On 214 resolved markets the win rate is 56.5%, lifetime P&L +$260K. It holds 24 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No · $77K · 48¢ → 87¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No · $45K · 93¢ → 98¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No · $44K · 84¢ → 91¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No · $34K · 80¢ → 88¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $33K · 92¢ → 95¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $21K · 83¢ → 85¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No · $15K · 85¢ → 91¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?No · $13K · 89¢ → 99¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No · $9,499 · 90¢ → 94¢
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No · $8,835 · 93¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No · +$7 · Oct 15, 2026
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No · +$50 · Oct 6, 2026
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$24K · Oct 2, 2026
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No · -$163 · Oct 2, 2026
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$372 · Oct 1, 2026
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No · +$250 · Oct 1, 2026
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?

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