Geopolitics76 days left
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$200.0K
2,241 trades
Smart Whales
54
of 356 traders
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
6 MARKETS · $1.31M MATCHEDSmart Money
a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium
10¢+33¢$187.4K19/25a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium+33¢10¢
$187.4K19/25
any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
14¢+25¢$233.8K20/31any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)+25¢14¢
$233.8K20/31
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
25 YESvs29 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 17 YES vs 20 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $15.9K is directional: YES $2.1K·NO $13.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.3K
Avg Win Rate
66.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.4K(-42.4%)
Whales
25
D
denizz◆Proven🥇
Entry 30¢·3,804.3 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-653
$-653INV $1.1K · WR 68.6%
V
vinii🥈hedged
Entry 37¢·1,703.2 shares·also $2.4K on NO
Invested
$625
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-412
$-412INV $625 · WR 65.8%
W
Warren-Buffett◆Proven🥉
Entry 11¢·5,306.6 shares
Invested
$577
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $577 · WR 65.5%
W
wienerdoghedged
Entry 26¢·990.8 shares·also $709 on NO
Invested
$261
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-137
$-137INV $261 · WR 56.4%
T
tetrase
Entry 32¢·465.1 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
73.7%
Position P&L
$-91
$-91INV $149 · WR 73.7%
3
0x34a9e26a...hedged
Entry 60¢·217.7 shares·also $287 on NO
Invested
$131
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-104
$-104INV $131 · WR 65.8%
S
Simon4s
Entry 53¢·200 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-81
$-81INV $106 · WR 74.4%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 12¢·415.1 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $51 · WR 68.2%
E
Eia
Entry 13¢·200 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $26 · WR 61.8%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 31¢·18.6 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $6 · WR 70.5%
Showing top 10 of 25
NO Team
Total Invested
$18.0K
Avg Win Rate
61.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.0K(+16.5%)
Whales
29
P
paddaa🥇
Entry 86¢·5,484.1 shares
Invested
$4.7K
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$103
+$103INV $4.7K · WR 60.9%
P
peterfromfamilyguy🥈
Entry 83¢·3,873.7 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$176
+$176INV $3.2K · WR 60.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉
Entry 90¢·2,968.7 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $2.7K · WR 57.6%
V
viniihedged
Entry 61¢·3,898.2 shares·also $625 on YES
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$1044
+$1044INV $2.4K · WR 65.8%
H
hopedieslast
Entry 82¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$110
+$110INV $1.6K · WR 56.5%
D
DooBieZ
Entry 83¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $1.2K · WR 62.8%
W
wienerdoghedged
Entry 72¢·990.8 shares·also $261 on YES
Invested
$709
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$158
+$158INV $709 · WR 56.4%
S
Sticky-Closing
Entry 25¢·1,867 shares
Invested
$466
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$1167
+$1167INV $466 · WR 62.5%
3
0x34a9e26a...hedged
Entry 77¢·371.9 shares·also $131 on YES
Invested
$287
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $287 · WR 65.8%
M
Majas
Entry 87¢·200 shares
Invested
$174
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $174 · WR 66.5%
Showing top 10 of 29
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