Geopolitics90 days left
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YES Price
14Ā¢
14% implied
NO Price
86Ā¢
86% implied
Volume
$180.7K
2,063 trades
Smart Whales
56
of 343 traders Ā· 2 on both sides
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
6 MARKETS Ā· $1.20M MATCHEDSmart Money
a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium
10Ā¢+32Ā¢$184.5K22/30a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium+32Ā¢10Ā¢
$184.5K22/30
any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
14Ā¢+31Ā¢$210.8K25/31any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)+31Ā¢14Ā¢
$210.8K25/31
a ā¤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)
14Ā¢+29Ā¢$212.3K23/31a ā¤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)+29Ā¢14Ā¢
$212.3K23/31
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
28 YESvs30 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars Ā· 16 YES vs 21 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%Ā· net of hedges
+10 new YES$187+12 new NO$7.1K
$108 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers ā left out of momentum
1 smart whale5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
$18 of $16.1K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $2.6KĀ·NO $13.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$4.0K
Avg Win Rate
64.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.5K(-36.6%)
Whales
28
D
denizzāProvenš„
Entry 30Ā¢Ā·3,804.3 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-615
$-615INV $1.1K Ā· WR 68.6%
V
viniiš„hedged
Entry 37Ā¢Ā·1,703.2 sharesĀ·also $2.4K on NO
Invested
$625
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-378
$-378INV $625 Ā· WR 65.7%
W
Warren-BuffettāProvenš„
Entry 11Ā¢Ā·5,476.3 shares
Invested
$595
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$253
+$253INV $595 Ā· WR 65.6%
O
Outsid3rTrading
Entry 31Ā¢Ā·1,756.1 shares
Invested
$549
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-277
$-277INV $549 Ā· WR 55.0%
M
memecoinerrrhedged
Entry 26Ā¢Ā·990.8 sharesĀ·also $709 on NO
Invested
$261
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-118
$-118INV $261 Ā· WR 56.4%
E
ED99999
Entry 32Ā¢Ā·465.1 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $149 Ā· WR 73.5%
3
0x34a9e26a...hedged
Entry 60Ā¢Ā·217.7 sharesĀ·also $287 on NO
Invested
$131
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-100
$-100INV $131 Ā· WR 65.7%
R
RockyBrohedged
Entry 38Ā¢Ā·283.2 sharesĀ·also $187 on NO
Invested
$107
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-66
$-66INV $107 Ā· WR 55.7%
S
Simon4s
Entry 53Ā¢Ā·200 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $106 Ā· WR 74.3%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 12Ā¢Ā·235 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $27 Ā· WR 68.4%
Showing top 10 of 28
NO Team
Total Invested
$18.4K
Avg Win Rate
60.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.3K(+17.9%)
Whales
30
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyš„
Entry 90Ā¢Ā·4,968.7 shares
Invested
$4.5K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-219
$-219INV $4.5K Ā· WR 57.8%
P
peterfromfamilyguyš„
Entry 83Ā¢Ā·4,766.1 shares
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$122
+$122INV $4.0K Ā· WR 60.3%
V
viniiš„hedged
Entry 61Ā¢Ā·3,898.2 sharesĀ·also $625 on YES
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$966
+$966INV $2.4K Ā· WR 65.7%
P
paddaa
Entry 84Ā¢Ā·2,261.6 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $1.9K Ā· WR 61.1%
H
hopedieslast
Entry 82Ā¢Ā·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $1.6K Ā· WR 56.5%
M
memecoinerrrhedged
Entry 72Ā¢Ā·990.8 sharesĀ·also $261 on YES
Invested
$709
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$138
+$138INV $709 Ā· WR 56.4%
E
Eia
Entry 84Ā¢Ā·759 shares
Invested
$638
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $638 Ā· WR 62.2%
M
Maru.lucky.nala.lenu
Entry 33Ā¢Ā·1,833.6 shares
Invested
$611
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$957
+$957INV $611 Ā· WR 57.4%
S
Sticky-Closing
Entry 25Ā¢Ā·1,867 shares
Invested
$466
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$1130
+$1130INV $466 Ā· WR 62.5%
D
DooBieZ
Entry 82Ā¢Ā·424.7 shares
Invested
$348
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
ā
āINV $348 Ā· WR 62.8%
Showing top 10 of 30
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