RockyBro · Polymarket wallet 0x4e4f…a849

Wallet snapshot

RockyBro has made 4,526 trades on Polymarket across 533 markets, $53K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (30%) and politics (10%). On 430 resolved markets the win rate is 56%, lifetime P&L -$157. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes · $88 · 66¢ → 42¢
• Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes · $49 · 55¢ → 48¢
• Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?Yes · $27 · 3¢ → 6¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?Yes · $7 · 65¢ → 96¢
• Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?No · $4 · 5¢ → 27¢
• Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 57¢ → 46¢
• Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?No · $1 · 89¢ → 95¢
• Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?No · $1 · 80¢ → 96¢
• Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?Yes · $0 · 22¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$10 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes · +$72 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?No · +$16 · Sep 26, 2026
• Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?No · +$8 · Sep 26, 2026
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?No · -$8 · Sep 22, 2026
• Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.