Politics188 days left
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
YES Price
37¢
37% implied
NO Price
63¢
63% implied
Volume
$19.7K
665 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 183 traders · 1 on both sides
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
36 MARKETS · $346.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+18¢$5.7K2/7Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+18¢4¢
$5.7K2/7
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
7¢−7¢$4.0K0/4Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−7¢7¢
$4.0K0/4
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢−3¢$11.0K0/7Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢
$11.0K0/7
Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢−4¢$2.3K0/2Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢
$2.3K0/2
Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢+6¢$4.6K1/8Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+6¢5¢
$4.6K1/8
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
15¢+23¢$149.6K9/15Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+23¢15¢
$149.6K9/15
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
6¢−6¢$2.1K0/2Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−6¢6¢
$2.1K0/2
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+16¢$7.2K2/8Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+16¢4¢
$7.2K2/8
Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢−4¢$1.9K0/4Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢
$1.9K0/4
Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢+11¢$4.2K1/6Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+11¢3¢
$4.2K1/6
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
6¢+14¢$13.2K2/8Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+14¢6¢
$13.2K2/8
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+9¢$7.2K1/7Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+9¢4¢
$7.2K1/7
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
6¢+44¢$6.7K4/4Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+44¢6¢
$6.7K4/4
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢+17¢$2.1K2/7Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+17¢5¢
$2.1K2/7
Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢−2¢$1.3K0/2Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢
$1.3K0/2
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←
37¢+13¢$19.7K11/11Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←+13¢37¢
$19.7K11/11
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
6¢+24¢$23.5K6/14Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+24¢6¢
$23.5K6/14
Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢+9¢$4.4K1/6Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+9¢5¢
$4.4K1/6
Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢+31¢$9211/2Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+31¢2¢
$9211/2
Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢−5¢$6.8K0/4Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢
$6.8K0/4
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
90¢−29¢$17.4K11/7Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−29¢90¢
$17.4K11/7
Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢+35¢$3.2K2/3Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+35¢5¢
$3.2K2/3
Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢−2¢$1.9K0/3Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢
$1.9K0/3
Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢−4¢$2.3K0/6Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢
$2.3K0/6
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢−4¢$1.9K0/4Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢
$1.9K0/4
Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+16¢$2.7K1/4Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+16¢4¢
$2.7K1/4
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
6¢+16¢$8.1K2/7Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+16¢6¢
$8.1K2/7
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+21¢$5.3K1/3Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+21¢4¢
$5.3K1/3
Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢−4¢$2.2K0/5Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢
$2.2K0/5
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢+22¢$4.8K2/6Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+22¢3¢
$4.8K2/6
Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢−3¢$1.7K0/2Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢
$1.7K0/2
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
1¢−1¢$1.6K0/4Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−1¢1¢
$1.6K0/4
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+10¢$3.7K1/6Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+10¢4¢
$3.7K1/6
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
50¢−4¢$5.8K6/7Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢50¢
$5.8K6/7
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Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs12 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 54%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$585+5 new NO$686
$41 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$281 of $3.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $446·NO $3.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$587
Avg Win Rate
67.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$68(-11.6%)
Whales
11
P
PascalPro🥇hedged
Entry 41¢·700 shares·also $140 on NO
Invested
$290
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $290 · WR 66.1%
M
Montecarlaw🥈
Entry 44¢·300 shares
Invested
$131
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $131 · WR 63.8%
R
Rulles🥉
Entry 45¢·113 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $51 · WR 79.3%
R
Romec
Entry 49¢·104.8 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $51 · WR 73.0%
P
peut-etreELM
Entry 39¢·69.5 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $27 · WR 60.9%
S
sety
Entry 38¢·30 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $11 · WR 71.1%
H
hexos7
Entry 37¢·27.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 57.1%
C
cryptomad89
Entry 52¢·19.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $10 · WR 60.6%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 47¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
77.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 77.9%
S
Sinusitis
Entry 37¢·5.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 79.4%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.3K
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$619(+18.9%)
Whales
12
G
G.Hchen🥇
Entry 56¢·4,475.6 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$457
+$457INV $2.5K · WR 56.9%
F
FrozenParasite🥈
Entry 46¢·660.5 shares
Invested
$306
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$103
+$103INV $306 · WR 56.4%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor🥉
Entry 47¢·300 shares
Invested
$141
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $141 · WR 70.5%
P
PascalProhedged
Entry 62¢·226.3 shares·also $290 on YES
Invested
$140
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $140 · WR 66.1%
M
mskl
Entry 56¢·209 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $117 · WR 57.7%
F
Francric
Entry 62¢·16.4 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 84.4%
S
Stefnc
Entry 65¢·15.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 73.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 62¢·15 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 68.2%
S
sushilord
Entry 54¢·9.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 88.9%
P
presidentendup
Entry 62¢·8.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
—
—INV $5 · WR 71.4%
Showing top 10 of 12
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