Politics193 days left
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
YES Price
91¢
91% implied
NO Price
9¢
9% implied
Volume
$15.6K
516 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 146 traders · 1 on both sides
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
36 MARKETS · $304.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢+19¢$5.7K2/7Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+19¢3¢
$5.7K2/7
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
6¢+19¢$3.6K1/3Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+19¢6¢
$3.6K1/3
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢−5¢$4.4K0/7Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢
$4.4K0/7
Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
7¢−7¢$2.3K0/2Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−7¢7¢
$2.3K0/2
Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+7¢$4.6K1/8Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+7¢4¢
$4.6K1/8
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
15¢+20¢$132.0K8/15Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+20¢15¢
$132.0K8/15
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢−5¢$2.1K0/2Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢
$2.1K0/2
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢+30¢$6.4K3/6Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+30¢3¢
$6.4K3/6
Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢−2¢$1.8K0/3Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢
$1.8K0/3
Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢−4¢$2.8K0/5Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢
$2.8K0/5
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
6¢+14¢$12.7K2/8Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+14¢6¢
$12.7K2/8
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢−5¢$4.9K0/6Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢
$4.9K0/6
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
6¢+44¢$6.3K4/4Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+44¢6¢
$6.3K4/4
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+18¢$2.1K2/7Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+18¢4¢
$2.1K2/7
Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢−2¢$1.3K0/2Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢
$1.3K0/2
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
43¢+5¢$16.5K10/11Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+5¢43¢
$16.5K10/11
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
6¢+26¢$23.5K6/13Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+26¢6¢
$23.5K6/13
Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+10¢$4.2K1/6Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+10¢4¢
$4.2K1/6
Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢+31¢$9211/2Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+31¢2¢
$9211/2
Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢−5¢$5.9K0/4Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢
$5.9K0/4
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←
91¢−38¢$15.6K8/7Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←−38¢91¢
$15.6K8/7
Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢+35¢$3.2K2/3Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+35¢5¢
$3.2K2/3
Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢−2¢$1.8K0/3Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢
$1.8K0/3
Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢−3¢$2.3K0/6Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢
$2.3K0/6
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢−3¢$1.9K0/4Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢
$1.9K0/4
Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+16¢$1.8K1/4Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+16¢4¢
$1.8K1/4
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+9¢$6.0K1/7Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+9¢4¢
$6.0K1/7
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+21¢$4.8K1/3Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+21¢4¢
$4.8K1/3
Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢−4¢$2.2K0/5Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢
$2.2K0/5
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+21¢$4.3K2/6Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+21¢4¢
$4.3K2/6
Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢−3¢$1.7K0/2Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢
$1.7K0/2
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
1¢−1¢$1.5K0/3Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−1¢1¢
$1.5K0/3
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢+11¢$3.7K1/6Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+11¢3¢
$3.7K1/6
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
51¢+4¢$5.0K6/5Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+4¢51¢
$5.0K6/5
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Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs7 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$138 of $4.1K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $3.9K·NO $33YES Team
Total Invested
$4.0K
Avg Win Rate
80.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$301(+7.6%)
Whales
9
D
DFK🥇
Entry 88¢·3,182.1 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$94
+$94INV $2.8K · WR 82.7%
P
PascalPro🥈hedged
Entry 77¢·736 shares·also $69 on NO
Invested
$567
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$103
+$103INV $567 · WR 64.4%
N
Narrow-Normalisation-Fisherman🥉
Entry 83¢·653.8 shares
Invested
$540
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $540 · WR 85.7%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 83¢·51.2 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $42 · WR 56.1%
G
garbagecollect4hedged
Entry 81¢·7 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 69.1%
D
danfragod
Entry 50¢·10.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 55.0%
S
seb-mhedged
Entry 12¢·40 shares·also $28 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $5 · WR 73.5%
M
mombil◆Proven
Entry 24¢·12 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $3 · WR 60.3%
Z
zahn
Entry 86¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 90.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$972
Avg Win Rate
86.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$850(-87.4%)
Whales
7
S
Satisfied-Edger🥇
Entry 81¢·1,002.2 shares
Invested
$809
Win Rate
90.6%
Position P&L
$-718
$-718INV $809 · WR 90.6%
P
PascalPro🥈hedged
Entry 70¢·98.5 shares·also $567 on YES
Invested
$69
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $69 · WR 64.4%
L
LucieC.🥉
Entry 19¢·163.8 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $31 · WR 61.3%
H
humbleBaker
Entry 84¢·35 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $29 · WR 57.3%
S
seb-mhedged
Entry 71¢·40 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$28
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $28 · WR 73.5%
G
garbagecollect4hedged
Entry 62¢·7 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 69.1%
M
mskl
Entry 11¢·10.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.8%
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