Politics193 days left

Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

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YES Price

4¢

4% implied

NO Price

96¢

96% implied

Volume

$2.1K

182 trades

Smart Whales

9

of 82 traders

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

36 MARKETS · $304.9K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢+19¢$5.7K2/7

Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+19¢3¢

Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

6¢+19¢$3.6K1/3

Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+19¢6¢

Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢−5¢$4.4K0/7

Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢

Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

7¢−7¢$2.3K0/2

Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−7¢7¢

Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+7¢$4.6K1/8

Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+7¢4¢

Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

15¢+20¢$132.0K8/15

Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+20¢15¢

Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢−5¢$2.1K0/2

Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢

Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢+30¢$6.4K3/6

Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+30¢3¢

Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢−2¢$1.8K0/3

Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢

Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢−4¢$2.8K0/5

Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢

Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

6¢+14¢$12.7K2/8

Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+14¢6¢

Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢−5¢$4.9K0/6

Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢

Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

6¢+44¢$6.3K4/4

Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+44¢6¢

Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←

4¢+18¢$2.1K2/7

Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←+18¢4¢

Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢−2¢$1.3K0/2

Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

43¢+5¢$16.5K10/11

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+5¢43¢

Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

6¢+26¢$23.5K6/13

Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+26¢6¢

Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+10¢$4.2K1/6

Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+10¢4¢

Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢+31¢$9211/2

Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+31¢2¢

Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢−5¢$5.9K0/4

Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

91¢−38¢$15.6K8/7

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−38¢91¢

Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢+35¢$3.2K2/3

Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+35¢5¢

Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢−2¢$1.8K0/3

Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢

Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢−3¢$2.3K0/6

Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢−3¢$1.9K0/4

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢

Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+16¢$1.8K1/4

Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+16¢4¢

Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+9¢$6.0K1/7

Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+9¢4¢

Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+21¢$4.8K1/3

Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+21¢4¢

Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢−4¢$2.2K0/5

Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢

Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+21¢$4.3K2/6

Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+21¢4¢

Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢−3¢$1.7K0/2

Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢

Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

1¢−1¢$1.5K0/3

Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−1¢1¢

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢+11¢$3.7K1/6

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+11¢3¢

Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

51¢+4¢$5.0K6/5

Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+4¢51¢

Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+10¢$4.3K1/6

Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+10¢4¢

Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢−4¢$7310/3

Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs7 NO

22%78%

78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 7 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $861 is directional: YES $0·NO $861

YES Team

Total Invested

$1

Avg Win Rate

72.5%

Aggregate P&L

-$0(-30.9%)

Whales

2

0xaf633e88...🥇

Entry 18¢·2.6 shares

$-0INV $0 · WR 71.9%

0xe6000afc...🥈

Entry 1¢·6.3 shares

+$0INV $0 · WR 76.3%

NO Team

Total Invested

$861

Avg Win Rate

66.8%

Aggregate P&L

-$2(-0.3%)

Whales

7

Hot-SkullProven🥇

Entry 97¢·471.3 shares

$-6INV $457 · WR 69.4%

Entry 95¢·253.8 shares

+$2INV $241 · WR 62.6%

Entry 94¢·133.1 shares

+$2INV $125 · WR 64.4%

Elias.Thornwell

Entry 95¢·27.9 shares

+$0INV $27 · WR 68.4%

Entry 98¢·9.9 shares

$-0INV $10 · WR 68.8%

Entry 98¢·1.8 shares

$-0INV $2 · WR 76.3%

Entry 98¢·1.1 shares

$-0INV $1 · WR 82.8%

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