Politics193 days left

Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

15¢

15% implied

NO Price

85¢

85% implied

Volume

$132.0K

583 trades

Smart Whales

23

of 144 traders

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

36 MARKETS · $304.9K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢+19¢$5.7K2/7

Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+19¢3¢

Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

6¢+19¢$3.6K1/3

Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+19¢6¢

Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢−5¢$4.4K0/7

Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢

Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

11¢−11¢$2.3K0/2

Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−11¢11¢

Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+7¢$4.6K1/8

Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+7¢4¢

Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←

15¢+24¢$132.0K9/14

Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←+24¢15¢

Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢−5¢$2.1K0/2

Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢

Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢+30¢$6.4K3/6

Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+30¢3¢

Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢−2¢$1.8K0/3

Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢

Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+13¢$2.8K1/5

Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+13¢4¢

Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

6¢+14¢$12.7K2/8

Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+14¢6¢

Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢−5¢$4.9K0/6

Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢

Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢+45¢$6.3K4/4

Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+45¢5¢

Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+18¢$2.1K2/7

Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+18¢4¢

Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢−2¢$1.3K0/2

Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

43¢+2¢$16.5K10/12

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+2¢43¢

Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢+27¢$23.5K6/13

Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+27¢5¢

Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+10¢$4.2K1/6

Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+10¢4¢

Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢+31¢$9211/2

Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+31¢2¢

Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢−5¢$5.9K0/4

Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

91¢−35¢$15.6K9/7

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−35¢91¢

Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢+35¢$3.2K2/3

Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+35¢5¢

Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

1¢−1¢$1.8K0/3

Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−1¢1¢

Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢−3¢$2.3K0/6

Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢−3¢$1.9K0/4

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢

Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+16¢$1.8K1/4

Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+16¢4¢

Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+9¢$6.0K1/7

Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+9¢4¢

Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+21¢$4.8K1/3

Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+21¢4¢

Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢−3¢$2.2K0/5

Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢

Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

7¢+18¢$4.3K2/6

Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+18¢7¢

Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢−3¢$1.7K0/2

Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢

Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

1¢−1¢$1.5K0/3

Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−1¢1¢

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢+11¢$3.7K1/6

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+11¢3¢

Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

51¢+4¢$5.0K6/5

Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+4¢51¢

Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+10¢$4.3K1/6

Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+10¢4¢

Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢−4¢$7310/3

Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

9 YESvs14 NO

39%61%

61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 12 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%

+5 new YES$931+9 new NO$9.3K

1 smart whale2 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $41.6K is directional: YES $6.3K·NO $35.4K

YES Team

Total Invested

$7.6K

Avg Win Rate

79.0%

Aggregate P&L

+$1.2K(+15.4%)

Whales

9

Entry 11¢·53,994 shares

+$2197INV $5.8K · WR 81.6%

Hot-SkullProven🥈

Entry 80¢·1,581.8 shares

$-1024INV $1.3K · WR 70.1%

Filthy-Hospitalisation🥉

Entry 13¢·3,000 shares

+$47INV $400 · WR 71.0%

big-bird1hedged

Entry 92¢·36.2 shares·also $6 on NO

$-28INV $33 · WR 68.8%

tzquantalpha001

Entry 95¢·21.6 shares

$-17INV $20 · WR 66.7%

Entry 99¢·20 shares·also $3 on NO

$-17INV $20 · WR 58.3%

0x992582b6e2b75b1cb17fcb150e912b9a402bbaa3

Entry 7¢·68.3 shares

+$5INV $5 · WR 70.3%

Elias.Thornwell

Entry 14¢·12 shares

+$0INV $2 · WR 68.4%

Entry 2¢·30 shares

+$4INV $1 · WR 65.3%

NO Team

Total Invested

$35.4K

Avg Win Rate

69.1%

Aggregate P&L

-$1.2K(-3.4%)

Whales

14

Entry 88¢·25,343.6 shares

$-806INV $22.4K · WR 64.4%

Entry 88¢·9,755.7 shares

$-256INV $8.6K · WR 82.7%

Entry 86¢·2,000 shares

$-14INV $1.7K · WR 73.5%

Entry 93¢·1,659.7 shares

$-126INV $1.5K · WR 56.7%

Entry 86¢·730.6 shares

$-6INV $627 · WR 66.3%

Entry 90¢·287.4 shares

$-14INV $259 · WR 66.7%

Entry 90¢·115 shares

$-6INV $104 · WR 77.6%

Entry 90¢·112 shares

$-5INV $101 · WR 61.9%

Entry 90¢·61 shares

$-3INV $55 · WR 88.0%

Entry 90¢·11.1 shares

$-1INV $10 · WR 87.5%

Showing top 10 of 14

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 413ms