Politics197 days left
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$23.5K
1,075 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 182 traders · 1 on both sides
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
36 MARKETS · $236.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢+19¢$5.6K2/7Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+19¢3¢
$5.6K2/7
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢+30¢$2.2K1/2Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+30¢3¢
$2.2K1/2
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢−4¢$4.0K0/6Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢
$4.0K0/6
Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢−2¢$2.2K0/2Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢
$2.2K0/2
Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+7¢$4.2K1/8Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+7¢4¢
$4.2K1/8
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
9¢+41¢$74.3K9/9Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+41¢9¢
$74.3K9/9
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢−5¢$1.5K0/2Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢
$1.5K0/2
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢+31¢$6.3K3/6Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+31¢2¢
$6.3K3/6
Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢−2¢$1.8K0/3Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢
$1.8K0/3
Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+10¢$2.3K1/6Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+10¢4¢
$2.3K1/6
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
6¢+14¢$12.4K2/8Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+14¢6¢
$12.4K2/8
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢−4¢$4.8K0/6Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢
$4.8K0/6
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢+45¢$3.8K4/4Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+45¢5¢
$3.8K4/4
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+23¢$2.1K3/8Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+23¢4¢
$2.1K3/8
Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢−2¢$1.3K0/2Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢
$1.3K0/2
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
42¢+6¢$16.4K10/11Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+6¢42¢
$16.4K10/11
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←
5¢+25¢$23.5K6/14Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←+25¢5¢
$23.5K6/14
Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢+11¢$3.5K1/6Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+11¢3¢
$3.5K1/6
Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢+31¢$9211/2Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+31¢2¢
$9211/2
Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢+15¢$5.9K1/4Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+15¢5¢
$5.9K1/4
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
91¢−41¢$15.5K8/8Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−41¢91¢
$15.5K8/8
Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢+38¢$3.1K2/3Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+38¢2¢
$3.1K2/3
Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
0¢+25¢$1.7K1/3Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+25¢0¢
$1.7K1/3
Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢−3¢$2.3K0/6Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢
$2.3K0/6
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢+22¢$1.8K1/3Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+22¢3¢
$1.8K1/3
Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+16¢$1.8K1/4Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+16¢4¢
$1.8K1/4
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
7¢+7¢$5.3K1/6Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+7¢7¢
$5.3K1/6
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢+22¢$4.8K1/3Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+22¢3¢
$4.8K1/3
Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢−4¢$2.1K0/5Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢
$2.1K0/5
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+26¢$3.9K3/7Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+26¢4¢
$3.9K3/7
Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢−2¢$1.6K0/2Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢
$1.6K0/2
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
1¢−1¢$1.5K0/3Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−1¢1¢
$1.5K0/3
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢+15¢$3.1K1/5Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+15¢2¢
$3.1K1/5
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
45¢+19¢$3.7K7/4Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+19¢45¢
$3.7K7/4
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Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs14 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+5 new YES$11+2 new NO$460
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$580 of $4.7K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $489·NO $3.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
67.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-94.5%)
Whales
6
N
NoDoubtD🥇
Entry 74¢·619 shares
Invested
$455
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
$-424
$-424INV $455 · WR 76.5%
G
gramschmidt🥈hedged
Entry 57732¢·0.8 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$442
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-442
$-442INV $442 · WR 61.9%
P
PascalPro🥉hedged
Entry 72¢·400 shares·also $1.8K on NO
Invested
$290
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-270
$-270INV $290 · WR 64.4%
H
HibernatingParasitehedged
Entry 17¢·308.9 shares·also $28 on NO
Invested
$52
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $52 · WR 55.2%
P
plyhu
Entry 79¢·30 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $24 · WR 60.0%
H
HuMani1
Entry 33¢·30 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $10 · WR 57.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.9K
Avg Win Rate
73.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$329(+8.3%)
Whales
14
P
PascalPro🥇hedged
Entry 88¢·2,059.8 shares·also $290 on YES
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$145
+$145INV $1.8K · WR 64.4%
D
DFK🥈
Entry 92¢·1,611.6 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $1.5K · WR 82.8%
A
archaic🥉
Entry 92¢·301.5 shares
Invested
$278
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $278 · WR 87.2%
K
knrad◆Proven
Entry 92¢·200.6 shares
Invested
$185
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $185 · WR 77.0%
N
nicoco89
Entry 65¢·100 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $65 · WR 62.5%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 93¢·40.3 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $38 · WR 68.6%
H
HibernatingParasitehedged
Entry 25¢·110.3 shares·also $52 on YES
Invested
$28
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $28 · WR 55.2%
T
tzquantalpha001
Entry 96¢·16.9 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $16 · WR 67.2%
D
Double-Return
Entry 89¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 60.0%
T
TerranSupremacy
Entry 47¢·15 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $7 · WR 67.2%
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