TBill1 · Polymarket wallet 0xd52b…5c72

Wallet snapshot

TBill1 has made 14,103 trades on Polymarket across 448 markets, $3.5M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (22%) and sports (19%). On 365 resolved markets the win rate is 55.1%, lifetime P&L +$85K. It holds 49 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 20, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $23K · 83¢ → 85¢
• US recession by end of 2026?No · $17K · 89¢ → 93¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $16K · 50¢ → 80¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $9,674 · 74¢ → 88¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $9,150 · 91¢ → 92¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $9,150 · 91¢ → 92¢
• Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No · $6,245 · 87¢ → 88¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $4,010 · 50¢ → 20¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $3,440 · 30¢ → 13¢
• France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?No · $3,217 · 81¢ → 87¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes · -$2,400 · Oct 20, 2026
• France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?No · +$111 · Oct 20, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Yes · -$134 · Oct 19, 2026
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$10 · Oct 17, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$5 · Oct 17, 2026
• Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Yes · +$129 · Oct 16, 2026

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