Geopolitics80 days left
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YES Price
87¢
87% implied
NO Price
13¢
13% implied
Volume
$6.71M
82,351 trades
Smart Whales
725
of 5,521 traders · 6 on both sides
Iran leader end of 2026?
40 MARKETS · $39.95M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
397 YESvs334 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 266 YES vs 102 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 92%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$6.8K+10 new NO$1.0K
$990 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$83 of $307.7K is hedged across different prices by 6 wallets. True directional: YES $296.0K·NO $11.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$348.6K
Avg Win Rate
71.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$80.3K(+23.0%)
Whales
397
C
classified◆Proven🥇
Entry 67¢·86,299.6 shares
Invested
$58.1K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$17541
+$17541INV $58.1K · WR 82.7%
M
MEPP🥈
Entry 77¢·47,747.8 shares
Invested
$36.9K
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
+$4900
+$4900INV $36.9K · WR 64.2%
G
GoriIIa🥉
Entry 83¢·27,535.2 shares
Invested
$22.9K
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$1228
+$1228INV $22.9K · WR 71.8%
L
Llalalala
Entry 84¢·21,778 shares
Invested
$18.3K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$806
+$806INV $18.3K · WR 65.8%
Y
yungstalinhedged
Entry 48¢·36,508.9 shares·also $6.2K on NO
Invested
$17.4K
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$14521
+$14521INV $17.4K · WR 60.4%
B
balthazar
Entry 78¢·17,584.2 shares
Invested
$13.7K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$1747
+$1747INV $13.7K · WR 72.2%
C
cocos228
Entry 65¢·18,915.4 shares
Invested
$12.4K
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
+$4209
+$4209INV $12.4K · WR 68.5%
S
SquirrelTheMerchant
Entry 84¢·10,786.1 shares
Invested
$9.0K
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$411
+$411INV $9.0K · WR 64.9%
V
Valen9
Entry 86¢·10,149.8 shares
Invested
$8.8K
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$131
+$131INV $8.8K · WR 61.5%
J
JJo
Entry 82¢·9,369.7 shares
Invested
$7.7K
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
+$522
+$522INV $7.7K · WR 76.6%
Showing top 10 of 397
NO Team
Total Invested
$131.1K
Avg Win Rate
67.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$42.1K(-32.1%)
Whales
334
H
hideo🥇
Entry 96¢·12,546.5 shares
Invested
$12.1K
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
$-10483
$-10483INV $12.1K · WR 75.4%
S
sippingdrank🥈hedged
Entry 97¢·8,596.1 shares·also $1.6K on YES
Invested
$8.3K
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-7239
$-7239INV $8.3K · WR 66.6%
U
ULYSSES18🥉
Entry 84¢·7,593.4 shares
Invested
$6.4K
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
$-5410
$-5410INV $6.4K · WR 83.1%
Y
yungstalinhedged
Entry 27¢·23,096.3 shares·also $17.4K on YES
Invested
$6.2K
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-3338
$-3338INV $6.2K · WR 60.4%
S
StupidMonkeyyyhedged
Entry 73¢·7,455.1 shares·also $1.7K on YES
Invested
$5.5K
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-4541
$-4541INV $5.5K · WR 58.7%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven
Entry 37¢·8,836.5 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-2155
$-2155INV $3.3K · WR 56.3%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 54¢·5,631.5 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-2325
$-2325INV $3.0K · WR 69.4%
B
BreadGet
Entry 31¢·6,760.2 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-1227
$-1227INV $2.1K · WR 55.3%
C
Clear-Gnu
Entry 66¢·2,318 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-1252
$-1252INV $1.5K · WR 65.2%
D
debased◆Proven
Entry 27¢·3,493.7 shares
Invested
$953
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-520
$-520INV $953 · WR 65.9%
Showing top 10 of 334
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