Rafael88 · Polymarket wallet 0x720b…37f6

−$4,986 lifetime P&L · 62.8% win rate · 164 resolved markets · 0x720bd69011aa5a9ef7846e88648218a7b33d37f6

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Wallet snapshot

Rafael88 has made 5,398 trades on Polymarket across 208 markets, $935K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (60%) and sports (25%). On 164 resolved markets the win rate is 62.8%, lifetime P&L -$4,986. It holds 20 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?". Last trade: Nov 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No · $16K · 91¢ → 91¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $10K · 84¢ → 88¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · $7,894 · 86¢ → 85¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $5,885 · 97¢ → 98¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?No · $2,808 · 94¢ → 97¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No · $2,520 · 64¢ → 60¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?No · $2,292 · 76¢ → 76¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No · $2,085 · 84¢ → 87¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Yes · $2,084 · 94¢ → 97¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $1,676 · 95¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · +$2,089 · Nov 1, 2026
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$1,850 · Oct 26, 2026
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$19K · Oct 26, 2026
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Yes · +$9 · Oct 24, 2026
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes · -$619 · Oct 23, 2026
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No · $0 · Oct 14, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?

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