YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$278.6K
4,371 trades
Smart Whales
90
of 561 traders · 3 on both sides
Iran leadership change by...?
4 MARKETS · $6.25M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
57 YESvs36 NO
61%39%
61% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 25% YES by dollars · 27 YES vs 13 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 53%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$430+6 new NO$380
$22 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
3 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$546 of $11.7K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $2.8K·NO $8.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$9.5K
Avg Win Rate
62.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.6K(-27.4%)
Whales
57
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥇hedged
Entry 75¢·3,556.7 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-1914
$-1914INV $2.7K · WR 55.3%
P
PaddyAlpha🥈hedged
Entry 26¢·3,201.5 shares·also $196 on NO
Invested
$839
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-151
$-151INV $839 · WR 68.2%
J
jkldskwoej🥉hedged
Entry 24¢·1,858.6 shares·also $1.4K on NO
Invested
$453
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $453 · WR 66.1%
C
0xc9f197ff...hedged
Entry 49¢·846.1 shares·also $664 on NO
Invested
$418
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-236
$-236INV $418 · WR 63.1%
G
goatboss
Entry 29¢·1,350 shares
Invested
$385
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-95
$-95INV $385 · WR 60.9%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 29¢·1,274.2 shares
Invested
$367
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-93
$-93INV $367 · WR 74.2%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 29¢·1,134.6 shares
Invested
$329
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-85
$-85INV $329 · WR 69.8%
S
samsamaiai
Entry 23¢·1,297 shares
Invested
$298
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $298 · WR 71.4%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 27¢·1,000 shares·also $633 on NO
Invested
$270
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $270 · WR 66.9%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven
Entry 17¢·1,490 shares
Invested
$252
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $252 · WR 56.3%
Showing top 10 of 57
NO Team
Total Invested
$17.9K
Avg Win Rate
70.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.7K(+54.3%)
Whales
36
P
Parz1vaI🥇
Entry 29¢·11,083.4 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$5531
+$5531INV $3.2K · WR 71.6%
R
Rolocex🥈
Entry 77¢·2,655.2 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $2.0K · WR 72.4%
G
givemeusername🥉
Entry 75¢·2,673.1 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$88
+$88INV $2.0K · WR 57.9%
L
laureman
Entry 77¢·2,036.2 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $1.6K · WR 91.4%
J
jkldskwoejhedged
Entry 75¢·1,858.6 shares·also $453 on YES
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $1.4K · WR 66.1%
R
Robbb◆Proven
Entry 75¢·1,700 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$65
+$65INV $1.3K · WR 81.2%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 19¢·6,050.8 shares·also $2.7K on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$3591
+$3591INV $1.2K · WR 55.3%
C
0xc9f197ff...hedged
Entry 78¢·846.1 shares·also $418 on YES
Invested
$664
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $664 · WR 63.1%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 63¢·1,000 shares·also $270 on YES
Invested
$633
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$152
+$152INV $633 · WR 66.9%
W
WarmStoneRunnerhedged
Entry 76¢·780.1 shares·also $185 on YES
Invested
$597
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $597 · WR 56.9%
Showing top 10 of 36
Smart Whale Trades
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