Geopolitics90 days left

Iran leadership change by December 31?

YES Price
12ยข
12% implied
NO Price
88ยข
88% implied
Volume
$4.98M
31,828 trades
Smart Whales
530
of 4,416 traders ยท 8 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

241 YESvs297 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars ยท 130 YES vs 200 NO taking a side ยท 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%ยท net of hedges
+25 new YES$11.4K+43 new NO$38.2K
$3.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
9 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$1.6K of $371.0K is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $110.6KยทNO $258.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 45% YES: Iran leadership change by December 31