YES Price
23ยข
23% implied
NO Price
77ยข
77% implied
Volume
$354.9K
4,254 trades
Smart Whales
85
of 546 traders ยท 3 on both sides
Iran leadership change by...?
4 MARKETS ยท $5.73M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
55 YESvs33 NO
63%38%
63% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 37% YES by dollars ยท 30 YES vs 15 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 63%ยท net of hedges
+9 new YES$679+4 new NO$1.0K
$330 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer โ left out of momentum
5 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$546 of $8.8K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $3.1KยทNO $5.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$6.7K
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$531(-7.9%)
Whales
55
P
PaddyAlpha๐ฅhedged
Entry 27ยขยท3,001.5 sharesยทalso $196 on NO
Invested
$801
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-126
$-126INV $801 ยท WR 68.4%
J
jkldskwoej๐ฅhedged
Entry 24ยขยท1,858.6 sharesยทalso $1.4K on NO
Invested
$453
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $453 ยท WR 66.1%
C
0xc9f197ff...๐ฅhedged
Entry 49ยขยท846.1 sharesยทalso $664 on NO
Invested
$418
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-228
$-228INV $418 ยท WR 63.1%
G
goatboss
Entry 29ยขยท1,350 shares
Invested
$385
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-81
$-81INV $385 ยท WR 59.1%
T
Tenebrus7โProven
Entry 29ยขยท1,274.2 shares
Invested
$367
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-81
$-81INV $367 ยท WR 74.2%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 29ยขยท1,134.6 shares
Invested
$329
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $329 ยท WR 70.6%
S
samsamaiai
Entry 23ยขยท1,260.6 shares
Invested
$290
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $290 ยท WR 71.4%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 27ยขยท1,000 sharesยทalso $633 on NO
Invested
$270
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $270 ยท WR 66.8%
B
BikesarethebestโProven
Entry 17ยขยท1,490 shares
Invested
$253
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$82
+$82INV $253 ยท WR 56.1%
P
PavtheGreat
Entry 25ยขยท1,000 shares
Invested
$250
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $250 ยท WR 63.6%
Showing top 10 of 55
NO Team
Total Invested
$13.5K
Avg Win Rate
70.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.8K(+43.1%)
Whales
33
P
Parz1vaI๐ฅ
Entry 29ยขยท11,083.4 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
+$5420
+$5420INV $3.2K ยท WR 71.5%
R
Rolocex๐ฅ
Entry 77ยขยท2,334.2 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $1.8K ยท WR 72.3%
J
jkldskwoej๐ฅhedged
Entry 75ยขยท1,858.6 sharesยทalso $453 on YES
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $1.4K ยท WR 66.1%
R
RobbbโProven
Entry 75ยขยท1,700 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $1.3K ยท WR 81.2%
C
0xc9f197ff...hedged
Entry 78ยขยท846.1 sharesยทalso $418 on YES
Invested
$664
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $664 ยท WR 63.1%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 63ยขยท1,000 sharesยทalso $270 on YES
Invested
$633
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$142
+$142INV $633 ยท WR 66.8%
W
WarmStoneRunnerhedged
Entry 76ยขยท780.1 sharesยทalso $185 on YES
Invested
$597
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $597 ยท WR 57.9%
P
Pantheon1hedged
Entry 77ยขยท750 sharesยทalso $57 on YES
Invested
$577
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $577 ยท WR 71.5%
S
SirHarryOakes
Entry 69ยขยท720.5 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $500 ยท WR 84.3%
4
0x4e84ce15...hedged
Entry 67ยขยท591.5 sharesยทalso $20 on YES
Invested
$398
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $398 ยท WR 60.2%
Showing top 10 of 33
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