Manzana698 · Polymarket wallet 0x4727…5aa5

Wallet snapshot

Manzana698 has made 188 trades on Polymarket across 61 markets, $167K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (77%) and politics (7%). On 53 resolved markets the win rate is 67.9%, lifetime P&L +$841. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?". Last trade: Oct 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?No · $2,813 · 96¢ → 100¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $2,400 · 93¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Iran leadership change by October 31?No · +$105 · Nov 1, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No · +$300 · Nov 1, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No · +$179 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes · -$100 · Oct 23, 2026
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No · -$20 · Oct 23, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No · -$1,258 · Oct 23, 2026
• Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?No · -$37 · Oct 18, 2026
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No · -$198 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · +$77 · Oct 1, 2026
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No · +$42 · Oct 1, 2026

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