YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$1.97M
23,793 trades
Smart Whales
422
of 4,937 traders · 8 on both sides
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
15 MARKETS · $5.39M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
159 YESvs271 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 41 YES vs 193 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+48 new YES$1.5K+61 new NO$24.3K
$1.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
15 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$155 of $134.8K is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $4.5K·NO $130.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$34.1K
Avg Win Rate
67.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.5K(-10.3%)
Whales
159
P
paddaa🥇
Entry 25¢·6,150 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-1280
$-1280INV $1.6K · WR 61.1%
V
Valen9🥈
Entry 14¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$700
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-478
$-478INV $700 · WR 61.5%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven🥉
Entry 23¢·2,165.7 shares
Invested
$496
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-400
$-400INV $496 · WR 75.9%
G
Gmoney16
Entry 9¢·5,036 shares
Invested
$467
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-243
$-243INV $467 · WR 75.0%
W
Warren-Buffett◆Proven
Entry 15¢·2,815.9 shares
Invested
$422
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-297
$-297INV $422 · WR 65.5%
S
seladorhedged
Entry 5¢·6,382.5 shares·also $565 on NO
Invested
$294
Win Rate
91.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $294 · WR 91.7%
A
AgricultureSecretary◆Proven
Entry 7¢·2,550 shares
Invested
$189
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
$-76
$-76INV $189 · WR 91.2%
P
PaddyAlphahedged
Entry 7¢·2,544.1 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$178
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $178 · WR 68.2%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 17¢·927.4 shares
Invested
$157
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-116
$-116INV $157 · WR 69.8%
H
Hakei.
Entry 12¢·1,150.2 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-87
$-87INV $138 · WR 71.7%
Showing top 10 of 159
NO Team
Total Invested
$151.8K
Avg Win Rate
76.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$31.4K(+20.7%)
Whales
271
J
Jest55◆Proven🥇
Entry 95¢·19,096 shares
Invested
$18.2K
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $18.2K · WR 83.3%
N
nchgbhy◆Proven🥈
Entry 95¢·12,726.1 shares
Invested
$12.1K
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $12.1K · WR 83.3%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven🥉
Entry 75¢·14,516.1 shares
Invested
$10.9K
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$2972
+$2972INV $10.9K · WR 90.9%
M
Moonshot1019
Entry 77¢·10,402 shares
Invested
$8.0K
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$1969
+$1969INV $8.0K · WR 58.0%
S
sdhyky
Entry 87¢·8,999.7 shares
Invested
$7.8K
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$806
+$806INV $7.8K · WR 59.4%
D
doublepepperoni
Entry 94¢·6,997.9 shares
Invested
$6.6K
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$108
+$108INV $6.6K · WR 64.3%
P
pagliacci4
Entry 96¢·4,615.7 shares
Invested
$4.4K
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $4.4K · WR 86.1%
C
cat-dog◆Proven
Entry 92¢·4,500 shares
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$167
+$167INV $4.1K · WR 81.1%
O
Outsmarter
Entry 78¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
+$878
+$878INV $3.9K · WR 72.9%
W
wowfarm◆Proven
Entry 96¢·4,000 shares
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $3.8K · WR 74.6%
Showing top 10 of 271
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 682ms