Geopolitics190 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?

YES Price
43¢
43% implied
NO Price
57¢
57% implied
Volume
$14.3K
211 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 67 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs8 NO
47%53%
53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 19% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 65%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$41+4 new NO$71
$13 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$20 of $1.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $336·NO $1.4K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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