Geopolitics168 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?

YES Price
32¢
32% implied
NO Price
68¢
68% implied
Volume
$191.2K
1,879 trades
Smart Whales
60
of 319 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

34 YESvs27 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 65% YES by dollars · 26 YES vs 17 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$536+18 new NO$2.3K
$433 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$143 of $8.2K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $5.2K·NO $2.9K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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