Geopolitics343 days left
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?
YES Price
63¢
63% implied
NO Price
37¢
37% implied
Volume
$3.2K
164 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 60 traders
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
15 MARKETS · $6.33M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs8 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 80%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$119+4 new NO$39
$27 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $390 is directional: YES $373·NO $17YES Team
Total Invested
$550
Avg Win Rate
64.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$46(+8.4%)
Whales
8
H
Hakei.🥇
Entry 59¢·315.9 shares
Invested
$186
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $186 · WR 71.7%
G
GenaTheBondKilIer◆Proven🥈
Entry 57¢·236 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $134 · WR 55.7%
N
newnewuser🥉
Entry 62¢·193.3 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $120 · WR 61.7%
F
Fickle-Halt-Window
Entry 60¢·86.1 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $51 · WR 58.5%
G
Gluckykluckyhedged
Entry 42¢·61.6 shares·also $48 on NO
Invested
$26
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $26 · WR 81.7%
H
hithitfarhedged
Entry 94¢·18.9 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $18 · WR 59.6%
B
bakayo33 - 9934
Entry 58¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 60.9%
G
GeorgiiRach
Entry 59¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
89.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 89.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$87
Avg Win Rate
72.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$29(-33.2%)
Whales
8
G
Gluckyklucky🥇hedged
Entry 62¢·77 shares·also $26 on YES
Invested
$48
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $48 · WR 81.7%
H
hithitfar🥈hedged
Entry 66¢·18.9 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$12
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $12 · WR 59.6%
M
Milin-dc🥉
Entry 41¢·20 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 60.5%
J
just-bettor
Entry 57¢·13 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $7 · WR 57.3%
Z
Zasmes
Entry 39¢·15.4 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 65.6%
E
EliteBetter
Entry 37¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 63.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 34¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 72.1%
T
thunderquack
Entry 40¢·2.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 75.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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