Geopolitics373 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?

YES Price
66¢
66% implied
NO Price
34¢
34% implied
Volume
$71.2K
281 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 80 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

11 YESvs6 NO
65%35%
65% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 36% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 51%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$315+14 new NO$310
$151 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$12 of $631 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $222·NO $397

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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