YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$114.6K
641 trades
Smart Whales
37
of 180 traders
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
15 MARKETS · $6.35M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
19 YESvs18 NO
51%49%
51% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 72% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 86%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$687+3 new NO$170
$137 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
3 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5.2K is directional: YES $3.7K·NO $1.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$4.0K
Avg Win Rate
71.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$69(-1.7%)
Whales
19
T
Threadbare-Signal🥇
Entry 47¢·2,359.9 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$65
+$65INV $1.1K · WR 60.2%
T
tsybka🥈
Entry 53¢·1,938.3 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $1.0K · WR 86.0%
M
MisTKy🥉
Entry 54¢·1,057.4 shares
Invested
$568
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $568 · WR 71.1%
R
Risto
Entry 51¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$510
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $510 · WR 59.0%
M
makemoney2025
Entry 47¢·532 shares
Invested
$249
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $249 · WR 90.5%
G
Gluckyklucky
Entry 51¢·313.5 shares
Invested
$161
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $161 · WR 81.7%
G
GenaTheBondKilIer◆Proven
Entry 52¢·200 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $104 · WR 55.6%
G
gesst
Entry 52¢·160 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $83 · WR 71.1%
A
0xa169f83d...hedged
Entry 52¢·100.3 shares·also $46 on NO
Invested
$52
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $52 · WR 69.3%
Z
Zasmeshedged
Entry 59¢·62.5 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$37
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $37 · WR 65.6%
Showing top 10 of 19
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-0.0%)
Whales
18
M
Minecraftboy22🥇
Entry 50¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $500 · WR 59.0%
4
0x4e84ce15...🥈
Entry 49¢·517.9 shares
Invested
$253
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $253 · WR 59.6%
U
unsecured7308🥉
Entry 56¢·411.8 shares
Invested
$231
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $231 · WR 84.4%
F
Fickle-Halt-Window
Entry 51¢·279.7 shares
Invested
$143
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $143 · WR 58.7%
M
Malganis
Entry 53¢·250 shares
Invested
$131
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $131 · WR 74.9%
P
piquqp
Entry 50¢·200 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $100 · WR 61.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 46¢·190 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $87 · WR 72.1%
A
0xa169f83d...hedged
Entry 46¢·100 shares·also $52 on YES
Invested
$46
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $46 · WR 69.3%
S
Starry-Bayou
Entry 55¢·51.7 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $29 · WR 85.8%
Z
Zasmeshedged
Entry 44¢·45.1 shares·also $37 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $20 · WR 65.6%
Showing top 10 of 18
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