Geopolitics174 days left
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?
YES Price
34¢
34% implied
NO Price
66¢
66% implied
Volume
$146
11 trades
Smart Whales
4
of 10 traders
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
15 MARKETS · $4.31M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs2 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 74% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$47+9 new NO$101
$30 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $25 is directional: YES $19·NO $6YES Team
Total Invested
$32
Avg Win Rate
72.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-19.1%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$13
Avg Win Rate
60.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$7(+50.6%)
Whales
2
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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