Geopolitics129 days left
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?
YES Price
33¢
33% implied
NO Price
67¢
67% implied
Volume
$35.0K
698 trades
Smart Whales
41
of 167 traders · 1 on both sides
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
15 MARKETS · $6.35M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs28 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 21 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 61%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$1.7K+16 new NO$1.1K
$229 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$22 of $4.0K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $139·NO $3.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.2K
Avg Win Rate
59.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$781(-36.0%)
Whales
14
S
StupidMonkeyyy🥇hedged
Entry 67¢·1,769.9 shares·also $286 on NO
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-614
$-614INV $1.2K · WR 58.3%
T
Trading4Fridge🥈
Entry 44¢·1,468.7 shares
Invested
$648
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-170
$-170INV $648 · WR 57.4%
T
Te0n2🥉hedged
Entry 35¢·469.9 shares·also $322 on NO
Invested
$163
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $163 · WR 67.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 31¢·108.6 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $34 · WR 72.1%
M
melonmanm◆Proven
Entry 29¢·113.7 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $33 · WR 70.1%
F
Fickle-Halt-Window
Entry 30¢·62.1 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 58.7%
G
gesst
Entry 25¢·54.6 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $14 · WR 71.1%
N
NellyDora
Entry 38¢·34.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $13 · WR 55.4%
M
Malganis
Entry 32¢·39.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
—
—INV $13 · WR 74.9%
4
0x4e84ce15...hedged
Entry 27¢·40.6 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $11 · WR 59.6%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.5K
Avg Win Rate
65.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$780(+17.5%)
Whales
28
K
KrackenSruster🥇
Entry 67¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1.3K · WR 66.0%
N
Needy-Retirement🥈
Entry 71¢·1,417.5 shares
Invested
$1000
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $1000 · WR 65.6%
C
Car🥉
Entry 78¢·1,055 shares
Invested
$826
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-114
$-114INV $826 · WR 65.0%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 61¢·529.9 shares·also $163 on YES
Invested
$322
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $322 · WR 67.0%
S
StupidMonkeyyyhedged
Entry 16¢·1,769.9 shares·also $1.2K on YES
Invested
$286
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$909
+$909INV $286 · WR 58.3%
G
Gluckyklucky
Entry 72¢·240 shares
Invested
$174
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $174 · WR 81.7%
E
Eia
Entry 72¢·200 shares
Invested
$144
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $144 · WR 61.6%
U
UntitledUser1
Entry 78¢·48 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $37 · WR 65.3%
M
Melodic-Salmon
Entry 72¢·43.1 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $31 · WR 64.1%
E
emmanuelgoldstein
Entry 74¢·40.5 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $30 · WR 66.7%
Showing top 10 of 28
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