Needy-Retirement · Polymarket wallet 0xbfc3…4425

Wallet snapshot

Needy-Retirement has made 230 trades on Polymarket across 52 markets, $53K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (40%) and sports (38%). On 36 resolved markets the win rate is 63.9%, lifetime P&L +$3,846. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No · $5,509 · 77¢ → 85¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?No · $1,265 · 68¢ → 78¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $1,198 · 75¢ → 90¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?No · $1,035 · 71¢ → 73¢
• Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?Yes · $992 · 80¢ → 79¢
• Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?No · $749 · 40¢ → 60¢
• Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?No · $674 · 29¢ → 40¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $662 · 72¢ → 95¢
• Trump meets with Putin by November 30?No · $191 · 26¢ → 10¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo · $0 · 57¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$113 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$162 · Nov 4, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No · +$59 · Nov 3, 2026
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No · +$129 · Nov 2, 2026
• Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsYes · +$135 · Oct 30, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Yes · -$6 · Oct 22, 2026
• Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Anadolu Efes

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