Geopolitics111 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?

YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$71.4K
1,376 trades
Smart Whales
62
of 259 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

24 YESvs39 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 38% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 31 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$642+13 new NO$2.3K
$349 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$129 of $17.2K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $6.4K·NO $10.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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