Geopolitics103 days left
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
22Ā¢
22% implied
NO Price
78Ā¢
78% implied
Volume
$2.65M
55,792 trades
Smart Whales
350
of 14,614 traders Ā· 5 on both sides
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
15 MARKETS Ā· $4.61M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
172 YESvs183 NO
49%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 26% YES by dollars Ā· 77 YES vs 135 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%Ā· net of hedges
+9 new YES$309+14 new NO$7.0K
$125 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers ā left out of momentum
2 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
$462 of $80.5K is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $20.7KĀ·NO $59.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$56.0K
Avg Win Rate
68.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$21.4K(-38.2%)
Whales
172
H
Hakei.š„
Entry 77Ā¢Ā·11,890.5 shares
Invested
$9.2K
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
$-6651
$-6651INV $9.2K Ā· WR 72.3%
M
MisTKyš„
Entry 80Ā¢Ā·7,836.4 shares
Invested
$6.3K
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-4615
$-4615INV $6.3K Ā· WR 72.0%
M
mm4kerš„
Entry 50Ā¢Ā·10,352.6 shares
Invested
$5.2K
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-2929
$-2929INV $5.2K Ā· WR 69.4%
7
0x7678aa83...
Entry 76Ā¢Ā·4,329.3 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-2365
$-2365INV $3.3K Ā· WR 64.0%
V
Valen9
Entry 33Ā¢Ā·8,397.9 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-1000
$-1000INV $2.8K Ā· WR 61.6%
W
Warren-Buffett
Entry 26Ā¢Ā·10,042.8 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
$-416
$-416INV $2.6K Ā· WR 66.0%
M
Metusalem
Entry 37Ā¢Ā·3,950 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-617
$-617INV $1.5K Ā· WR 64.4%
G
GollumGekko
Entry 26Ā¢Ā·4,990.8 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
$-220
$-220INV $1.3K Ā· WR 76.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 31Ā¢Ā·3,856 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-377
$-377INV $1.2K Ā· WR 71.9%
O
OxF6C33EaE7cbC1dB8f9c6F10f0a3C54E5dC7aF1b8
Entry 43Ā¢Ā·1,794 shares
Invested
$771
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
$-386
$-386INV $771 Ā· WR 72.4%
Showing top 10 of 172
NO Team
Total Invested
$82.4K
Avg Win Rate
67.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$14.4K(+17.4%)
Whales
183
X
xouaš„
Entry 78Ā¢Ā·20,000 shares
Invested
$15.6K
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
+$108
+$108INV $15.6K Ā· WR 68.1%
C
Carš„
Entry 71Ā¢Ā·18,872 shares
Invested
$13.4K
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$1421
+$1421INV $13.4K Ā· WR 65.1%
N
Needy-Retirementš„
Entry 77Ā¢Ā·6,519.9 shares
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$118
+$118INV $5.0K Ā· WR 62.5%
A
adenakoz1
Entry 75Ā¢Ā·4,800 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$177
+$177INV $3.6K Ā· WR 56.5%
K
KrackenSruster
Entry 55Ā¢Ā·5,795.5 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
+$1362
+$1362INV $3.2K Ā· WR 66.0%
N
nchgbhy
Entry 79Ā¢Ā·3,941.6 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
83.7%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $3.1K Ā· WR 83.7%
7
7203
Entry 56Ā¢Ā·4,929.7 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$1089
+$1089INV $2.8K Ā· WR 58.3%
T
The-Joker
Entry 34Ā¢Ā·7,666.1 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$3403
+$3403INV $2.6K Ā· WR 70.9%
T
Trumpchi
Entry 75Ā¢Ā·3,093.1 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
+$108
+$108INV $2.3K Ā· WR 80.1%
O
Outsmarter
Entry 63Ā¢Ā·3,581.7 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
+$555
+$555INV $2.3K Ā· WR 71.5%
Showing top 10 of 183
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