Geopolitics435 days left
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
YES Price
72¢
72% implied
NO Price
28¢
28% implied
Volume
$51.5K
922 trades
Smart Whales
41
of 217 traders · 1 on both sides
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
15 MARKETS · $6.32M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
25 YESvs17 NO
60%41%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 84% YES by dollars · 21 YES vs 13 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 79%· net of hedges
+19 new YES$1.2K+14 new NO$452
$368 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $21.7K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $18.2K·NO $3.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$18.5K
Avg Win Rate
82.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$744(+4.0%)
Whales
25
T
tsybka🥇
Entry 69¢·18,397.5 shares
Invested
$12.8K
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$392
+$392INV $12.8K · WR 86.0%
I
Ideal-Arch🥈
Entry 70¢·2,655.5 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $1.9K · WR 90.0%
N
newnewuser🥉
Entry 66¢·2,532.1 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$128
+$128INV $1.7K · WR 61.7%
R
Runner109
Entry 70¢·1,345.4 shares
Invested
$942
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $942 · WR 61.4%
K
KariSpice
Entry 67¢·500.3 shares
Invested
$337
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $337 · WR 82.9%
D
DawnOfYemen
Entry 68¢·259.7 shares
Invested
$177
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $177 · WR 71.3%
J
Jet9
Entry 52¢·300 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $156 · WR 66.7%
S
siriosleban1
Entry 71¢·136.2 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $97 · WR 78.9%
F
Fickle-Halt-Windowhedged
Entry 71¢·109.9 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$78
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $78 · WR 58.5%
G
Geget44600
Entry 72¢·101 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $72 · WR 77.7%
Showing top 10 of 25
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.5K
Avg Win Rate
63.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$96(-2.7%)
Whales
17
C
Car🥇
Entry 29¢·8,422.8 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $2.4K · WR 65.0%
M
Minecraftboy22🥈
Entry 29¢·2,036.7 shares
Invested
$600
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $600 · WR 59.0%
U
UntitledUser1🥉
Entry 30¢·734.9 shares
Invested
$220
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $220 · WR 65.3%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 31¢·210 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $64 · WR 68.1%
M
mad4x
Entry 30¢·173 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $52 · WR 57.3%
J
just-bettor
Entry 75¢·63.4 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $48 · WR 57.3%
L
letmecookit
Entry 31¢·79.6 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $25 · WR 65.1%
C
classified◆Proven
Entry 28¢·86.4 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $24 · WR 82.7%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 30¢·61.8 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $19 · WR 55.3%
M
Melodic-Salmon
Entry 31¢·47.8 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $15 · WR 64.1%
Showing top 10 of 17
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 30ms (cached)