Geopolitics29 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

YES Price
4ยข
4% implied
NO Price
96ยข
96% implied
Volume
$1.83M
22,555 trades
Smart Whales
398
of 4,828 traders ยท 8 on both sides

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

15 MARKETS ยท $5.13M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

152 YESvs254 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars ยท 51 YES vs 191 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%ยท net of hedges
+11 new YES$270+14 new NO$12.9K
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
2 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$314 of $105.1K is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $7.4KยทNO $97.4K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 37% YES: Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreementโ€ฆ