Geopolitics404 days left
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?
YES Price
68¢
68% implied
NO Price
32¢
32% implied
Volume
$7.2K
294 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 68 traders
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
15 MARKETS · $6.33M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs7 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 70% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 87%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$797+11 new NO$225
$240 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.1K is directional: YES $797·NO $343YES Team
Total Invested
$851
Avg Win Rate
76.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$61(+7.1%)
Whales
9
M
makemoney2025🥇
Entry 69¢·582.9 shares
Invested
$400
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $400 · WR 90.5%
F
Fickle-Halt-Window🥈
Entry 65¢·377.2 shares
Invested
$244
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $244 · WR 58.5%
Z
Zasmes🥉
Entry 65¢·123.7 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $80 · WR 65.6%
G
Gluckykluckyhedged
Entry 37¢·88 shares·also $47 on NO
Invested
$33
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $33 · WR 81.7%
M
Malganis
Entry 67¢·44.4 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $30 · WR 74.9%
D
DawnOfYemen
Entry 67¢·39.6 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $27 · WR 71.3%
H
hithitfarhedged
Entry 42¢·53.1 shares·also $33 on NO
Invested
$22
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $22 · WR 59.6%
P
Possible-Photo
Entry 67¢·14.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 72.7%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 69¢·9.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 68.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$473
Avg Win Rate
64.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$75(-15.7%)
Whales
7
N
newnewuser🥇
Entry 33¢·1,008 shares
Invested
$332
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $332 · WR 61.7%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 50¢·100.1 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $50 · WR 72.1%
G
Gluckyklucky🥉hedged
Entry 75¢·62.9 shares·also $33 on YES
Invested
$47
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $47 · WR 81.7%
H
hithitfarhedged
Entry 62¢·53.1 shares·also $22 on YES
Invested
$33
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $33 · WR 59.6%
B
0xbd848c80...
Entry 36¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 57.8%
M
Minecraftboy22
Entry 27¢·18.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 59.0%
B
badatthis
Entry 32¢·3.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 63.8%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1785ms