Polymarket wallet 0xbd84…1292

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xbd84…1292 has made 1,163 trades on Polymarket across 413 markets, $8,955 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (38%) and economics (18%). On 315 resolved markets the win rate is 57.8%, lifetime P&L +$499. It holds 49 open positions right now; the largest is No on "NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 30, 2026.

Largest open positions

• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $21 · 86¢ → 74¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No · $21 · 95¢ → 98¢
• Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No · $14 · 62¢ → 57¢
• New pandemic in 2026?No · $10 · 91¢ → 96¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $10 · 97¢ → 99¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?No · $10 · 89¢ → 91¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No · $10 · 89¢ → 90¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $7 · 70¢ → 63¢
• Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?Yes · $6 · 26¢ → 5¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No · $6 · 79¢ → 93¢

Latest closed positions

• Will EUR/USD hit 1.12 (Low) in 2026?Yes · +$6 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?Yes · -$5 · Oct 4, 2026
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September?Yes · -$5 · Oct 4, 2026
• Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?No · +$0 · Oct 4, 2026
• Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Yes · +$5 · Oct 4, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes · -$5 · Oct 2, 2026
• EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.