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Geopolitics80 days left

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$2.62M
18,494 trades
Smart Whales
600
of 3,116 traders · 8 on both sides

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

2 MARKETS · $4.33M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

220 YESvs388 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 110 YES vs 285 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%· net of hedges
+33 new YES$25.3K+63 new NO$63.6K
$7.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$653 of $213.3K is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $43.5K·NO $169.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$77.7K
Avg Win Rate
67.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.1K(-4.0%)
Whales
220
A
aenews2Proven🥇
Entry 22¢·85,315.3 shares
+$3676INV $18.9K · WR 74.6%
T
theta-thunberg🥈
Entry 70¢·6,908.8 shares
$-3209INV $4.8K · WR 56.4%
R
rando12345🥉
Entry 49¢·9,325.2 shares
$-2387INV $4.6K · WR 67.0%
B
betwickProven
Entry 27¢·11,681.3 shares
$-79INV $3.2K · WR 59.8%
C
cambridgeisaac
Entry 52¢·4,017.7 shares
$-1035INV $2.1K · WR 57.1%
E
ED99999
Entry 26¢·7,925.4 shares
+$54INV $2.0K · WR 73.6%
D
DerDonProven
Entry 28¢·5,288.6 shares
$-62INV $1.5K · WR 56.5%
O
Optimus-Proven
Entry 27¢·4,794.8 shares
$-13INV $1.3K · WR 62.0%
G
GollumGekkoProven
Entry 40¢·3,163.6 shares
$-423INV $1.3K · WR 75.9%
G
goatboss
Entry 28¢·3,700 shares
$-57INV $1.0K · WR 60.9%
Showing top 10 of 220

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 36% YES: NATO x Russia military clash…