๐Ÿ‹OrcaLayer
Sign In
Geopolitics90 days left

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
21ยข
21% implied
NO Price
79ยข
79% implied
Volume
$2.37M
16,990 trades
Smart Whales
581
of 3,004 traders ยท 7 on both sides

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

2 MARKETS ยท $3.68M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

211 YESvs377 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 25% YES by dollars ยท 120 YES vs 285 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 55%ยท net of hedges
+36 new YES$9.2K+27 new NO$8.0K
$5.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
15 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$325 of $200.3K is hedged across different prices by 7 wallets. True directional: YES $50.0KยทNO $150.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$80.1K
Avg Win Rate
67.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$13.6K(-17.0%)
Whales
211
A
aenews2Proven๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 22ยขยท85,315.3 shares
$-590INV $18.9K ยท WR 74.5%
T
theta-thunberg๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 70ยขยท6,908.8 shares
$-3382INV $4.8K ยท WR 56.5%
R
rando12345๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 49ยขยท9,325.2 shares
$-2620INV $4.6K ยท WR 67.2%
O
Outsid3rTrading
Entry 27ยขยท15,000 shares
$-875INV $4.1K ยท WR 55.0%
B
betwickProven
Entry 27ยขยท11,681.3 shares
$-663INV $3.2K ยท WR 59.8%
C
cambridgeisaac
Entry 52ยขยท4,017.7 shares
$-1236INV $2.1K ยท WR 57.3%
E
ED99999
Entry 26ยขยท7,925.4 shares
$-343INV $2.0K ยท WR 73.5%
D
DerDonProven
Entry 28ยขยท5,288.6 shares
$-326INV $1.5K ยท WR 56.6%
O
Optimus-Proven
Entry 27ยขยท4,794.8 shares
$-253INV $1.3K ยท WR 61.9%
G
GollumGekkoProven
Entry 40ยขยท3,163.6 shares
$-582INV $1.3K ยท WR 75.9%
Showing top 10 of 211

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 1ms (cached)
Smart money 36% YES: NATO x Russia military clashโ€ฆ