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Geopolitics80 days left

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$2.62M
18,360 trades
Smart Whales
597
of 3,106 traders · 7 on both sides

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

2 MARKETS · $4.29M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

221 YESvs383 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 111 YES vs 281 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$17.6K+38 new NO$40.1K
$2.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$353 of $208.0K is hedged across different prices by 7 wallets. True directional: YES $43.9K·NO $163.8K
YES Team
Total Invested
$78.0K
Avg Win Rate
67.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$8.5K(-10.9%)
Whales
221
A
aenews2Proven🥇
Entry 22¢·85,315.3 shares
+$1117INV $18.9K · WR 74.6%
T
theta-thunberg🥈
Entry 70¢·6,908.8 shares
$-3209INV $4.8K · WR 56.4%
R
rando12345🥉
Entry 49¢·9,325.2 shares
$-2387INV $4.6K · WR 67.0%
B
betwickProven
Entry 27¢·11,681.3 shares
$-430INV $3.2K · WR 59.8%
C
cambridgeisaac
Entry 52¢·4,017.7 shares
$-1156INV $2.1K · WR 57.1%
E
ED99999
Entry 26¢·7,925.4 shares
$-184INV $2.0K · WR 73.6%
D
DerDonProven
Entry 28¢·5,288.6 shares
$-220INV $1.5K · WR 56.5%
O
Optimus-Proven
Entry 27¢·4,794.8 shares
$-157INV $1.3K · WR 62.0%
G
GollumGekkoProven
Entry 40¢·3,163.6 shares
$-518INV $1.3K · WR 75.9%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 26¢·4,426.2 shares·also $3.2K on NO
$-101INV $1.1K · WR 66.9%
Showing top 10 of 221

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 36% YES: NATO x Russia military clash…