445 days left
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$224.6K
3,793 trades
Smart Whales
102
of 410 traders · 3 on both sides
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
10 MARKETS · $1.50M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
39 YESvs66 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 27% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 15 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%· net of hedges
+36 new YES$4.3K+62 new NO$15.6K
$1.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 21 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales16 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$160 of $5.3K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $1.4K·NO $3.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.2K
Avg Win Rate
63.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$142(-4.4%)
Whales
39
D
Dragontree🥇hedged
Entry 82¢·1,274.8 shares·also $344 on NO
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-827
$-827INV $1.0K · WR 67.4%
D
DerDon🥈hedged
Entry 16¢·3,917.8 shares·also $74 on NO
Invested
$613
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$327
+$327INV $613 · WR 56.5%
W
WashTrade🥉
Entry 17¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$255
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $255 · WR 59.2%
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven
Entry 18¢·1,395.6 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $245 · WR 66.6%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 17¢·955.7 shares
Invested
$163
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $163 · WR 59.4%
G
GenaTheBondKilIer◆Proven
Entry 19¢·500 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $97 · WR 55.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 14¢·609 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $88 · WR 72.2%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 16¢·525.4 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $83 · WR 59.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 19¢·400 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $76 · WR 57.7%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 15¢·191.1 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $29 · WR 74.2%
Showing top 10 of 39
NO Team
Total Invested
$17.9K
Avg Win Rate
80.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.6K(+20.1%)
Whales
66
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 64¢·5,983.6 shares
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1102
+$1102INV $3.8K · WR 85.9%
D
DancewithRisk🥈
Entry 78¢·2,790.9 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $2.2K · WR 66.1%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 56¢·1,803.4 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$478
+$478INV $1.0K · WR 85.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 84¢·999.3 shares
Invested
$835
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $835 · WR 88.2%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 77¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$770
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $770 · WR 70.5%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 78¢·974.3 shares
Invested
$757
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $757 · WR 83.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 76¢·969.2 shares
Invested
$738
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $738 · WR 89.0%
L
lpgb
Entry 82¢·897 shares
Invested
$737
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $737 · WR 75.7%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 80¢·553.5 shares
Invested
$442
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $442 · WR 88.2%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 82¢·538.1 shares
Invested
$440
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $440 · WR 79.2%
Showing top 10 of 66
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