Malganis · Polymarket wallet 0x4bf4…7021

Wallet snapshot

Malganis has made 34,286 trades on Polymarket across 3,247 markets, $1.9M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (33%) and politics (22%). On 2,665 resolved markets the win rate is 75%, lifetime P&L +$5,405. It holds 386 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?No · $1,260 · 84¢ → 95¢
• OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?No · $807 · 34¢ → 71¢
• Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes · $794 · 27¢ → 39¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No · $665 · 66¢ → 69¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes · $489 · 18¢ → 17¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes · $410 · 21¢ → 21¢
• Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes · $375 · 27¢ → 38¢
• Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes · $320 · 19¢ → 12¢
• Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes · $319 · 38¢ → 30¢
• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $251 · 83¢ → 92¢

Latest closed positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No · +$7 · Oct 16, 2026
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?No · +$4 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?Yes · +$7 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes · -$3 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will N1 launch a token by December 31, 2027?No · +$2 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Prime Intellect launch a token by September 30, 2027?No · -$4 · Oct 15, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.