Politics19 days left

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 20%-25%?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

27¢

27% implied

NO Price

73¢

73% implied

Volume

$8.8K

387 trades

Smart Whales

of 94 traders · 1 on both sides

CT-02 House Election Margin of Victory

9 MARKETS · $20.3K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election

1¢−1¢$5580/8

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election−1¢1¢

$5580/8

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs13 NO

19%81%

81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 29% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 76%· net of hedges

+12 new YES$196+5 new NO$81

$55 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum

1 smart whale0 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$7 of $70 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $18·NO $45

YES Team

Total Invested

$22

Avg Win Rate

64.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$2(+11.1%)

Whales

Majas🥇

Entry 30¢·51.1 shares

$-2INV $15 · WR 66.5%

Car🥈hedged

Entry 17¢·20 shares·also $16 on NO

Female-TailbudProven🥉

NO Team

Total Invested

$200

Avg Win Rate

83.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$38(+19.0%)

Whales

+$11INV $48 · WR 79.6%

+$5INV $35 · WR 89.3%

$-2INV $31 · WR 90.9%

+$8INV $18 · WR 87.7%

Carhedged

Entry 80¢·20 shares·also $3 on YES

$-1INV $16 · WR 65.0%

+$7INV $15 · WR 88.2%

plainfolder

Entry 62¢·13.8 shares

Entry 62¢·12.4 shares

Showing top 10 of 13

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 1303ms