Geopolitics14 days left

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?

YES Price
55¢
55% implied
NO Price
45¢
45% implied
Volume
$20.8K
183 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 89 traders

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs10 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 60% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 52%· net of hedges
+44 new YES$8.6K+77 new NO$9.2K
$3.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 33 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $9.8K is directional: YES $5.9K·NO $4.0K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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