Geopolitics39 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?

YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$79.9K
902 trades
Smart Whales
64
of 297 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

14 YESvs51 NO
22%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 48 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%
+9 new YES$97+14 new NO$1.7K
1 smart whale7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$0 of $25.3K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $231·NO $25.1K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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