Geopolitics84 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?

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YES Price

17¢

17% implied

NO Price

83¢

83% implied

Volume

$120

6 trades

Smart Whales

of 7 traders

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

15 MARKETS · $4.31M MATCHED

Smart Money

by October 31, 2026

12¢+28¢$1.58M129/196

by October 31, 2026+28¢12¢

$1.58M129/196

by December 31, 2026

24¢+24¢$2.58M160/173

by December 31, 2026+24¢24¢

$2.58M160/173

by March 31, 2027

38¢+29¢$65.9K26/13

by March 31, 2027+29¢38¢

$65.9K26/13

by June 30, 2027

53¢+10¢$73.8K34/20

by June 30, 2027+10¢53¢

$73.8K34/20

by April 30, 2027

45¢—$00/0

by April 30, 2027—45¢

by October 31, 2027—63¢

by September 30, 2027

56¢—$400/0

by September 30, 2027—56¢

$400/0

by December 31, 2027

69¢—$00/0

by December 31, 2027—69¢

$00/0

by August 31, 2027

57¢—$00/0

by August 31, 2027—57¢

$00/0

by November 30, 2027

68¢—$880/0

by November 30, 2027—68¢

$880/0

by January 31, 2027

32¢—$6.5K0/0

by January 31, 2027—32¢

$6.5K0/0

by February 28, 2027

34¢—$1460/0

by February 28, 2027—34¢

$1460/0

by November 30, 2026←

17¢—$1200/0

by November 30, 2026←—17¢

$1200/0

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs1 NO

50%50%

50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%

+3 new YES$16+4 new NO$105

1 smart whale1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $11 is directional: YES $0·NO $11

YES Team

Total Invested

$13

Avg Win Rate

61.3%

Aggregate P&L

+$4(+26.9%)

Whales

+$4INV $13 · WR 61.3%

NO Team

Total Invested

$11

Avg Win Rate

61.5%

Aggregate P&L

—

Whales

newnewuser🥇

Entry 84¢·12.5 shares

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