Geopolitics101 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?

YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$132.9K
1,955 trades
Smart Whales
61
of 333 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

26 YESvs36 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 21 YES vs 32 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 78%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$1.8K+30 new NO$5.2K
$945 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $19.4K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $5.7K·NO $13.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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