YES Price
32¢
32% implied
NO Price
68¢
68% implied
Volume
$6.5K
158 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 62 traders
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
15 MARKETS · $4.30M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs8 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 45% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 52%· net of hedges
+52 new YES$2.6K+31 new NO$2.8K
$558 of this was bought on both sides by the same 20 buyers — left out of momentum
12 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.5K is directional: YES $666·NO $814YES Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
65.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$563(-29.7%)
Whales
12
K
KrackenSruster🥇hedged
Entry 66¢·1,811.2 shares·also $385 on NO
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-621
$-621INV $1.2K · WR 66.1%
C
Car🥈
Entry 28¢·2,163.2 shares
Invested
$610
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $610 · WR 65.1%
G
Gluckyklucky🥉
Entry 25¢·88 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $22 · WR 81.6%
A
0xafa7c2a1...hedged
Entry 65¢·28.3 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $18 · WR 66.7%
A
AlexZA3hedged
Entry 64¢·25.6 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $16 · WR 65.0%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 32¢·48.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 69.3%
M
mad4x
Entry 30¢·44 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $13 · WR 57.3%
T
tzquantalpha001hedged
Entry 67¢·6.4 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 66.3%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 30¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 55.5%
3
0x3d03c46d...
Entry 30¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 65.8%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
63.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$858(+70.9%)
Whales
8
N
newnewuser🥇
Entry 64¢·845.6 shares
Invested
$541
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $541 · WR 61.5%
K
KrackenSruster🥈hedged
Entry 23¢·1,702.3 shares·also $1.2K on YES
Invested
$385
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$781
+$781INV $385 · WR 66.1%
T
Te0n2🥉
Entry 67¢·200 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $134 · WR 66.3%
4
0x4e84ce15...
Entry 66¢·169.7 shares
Invested
$111
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $111 · WR 61.3%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 70¢·40 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $28 · WR 74.4%
A
0xafa7c2a1...hedged
Entry 21¢·28.3 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $6 · WR 66.7%
A
AlexZA3hedged
Entry 15¢·25.6 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $4 · WR 65.0%
T
tzquantalpha001hedged
Entry 2¢·6 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $0 · WR 66.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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