Lamantinka · Polymarket wallet 0xbb98…6d3c

Wallet snapshot

Lamantinka has made 1,038 trades on Polymarket across 106 markets, $374K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (71%) and politics (11%). On 94 resolved markets the win rate is 67%, lifetime P&L +$1,998. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $6,985 · 86¢ → 84¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No · $2,488 · 83¢ → 87¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?No · $2,148 · 89¢ → 93¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No · $1,825 · 96¢ → 97¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?No · $985 · 80¢ → 79¢

Latest closed positions

• Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No · +$325 · Oct 1, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No · -$128 · Sep 12, 2026
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No · -$34 · Sep 12, 2026
• Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?Yes · +$1 · Sep 9, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$213 · Sep 5, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes · -$873 · Sep 5, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.