YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$2.78M
57,286 trades
Smart Whales
390
of 14,740 traders · 3 on both sides
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
15 MARKETS · $5.39M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
191 YESvs202 NO
49%51%
51% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 28% YES by dollars · 84 YES vs 142 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$1.5K+43 new NO$15.9K
$382 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$150 of $114.5K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $32.0K·NO $82.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$75.0K
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$34.3K(-45.7%)
Whales
191
T
Threadbare-Signal🥇
Entry 40¢·29,732.8 shares
Invested
$11.9K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-6856
$-6856INV $11.9K · WR 60.2%
H
Hakei.🥈
Entry 77¢·11,890.5 shares
Invested
$9.2K
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-7127
$-7127INV $9.2K · WR 71.7%
M
MisTKy🥉
Entry 80¢·7,836.4 shares
Invested
$6.3K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-4929
$-4929INV $6.3K · WR 71.3%
7
0x7678aa83...
Entry 79¢·6,676.6 shares
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-4112
$-4112INV $5.3K · WR 56.5%
M
mm4ker
Entry 50¢·10,352.6 shares
Invested
$5.2K
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-3395
$-3395INV $5.2K · WR 69.7%
V
Valen9
Entry 33¢·8,397.9 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-1378
$-1378INV $2.8K · WR 61.5%
W
Warren-Buffett◆Proven
Entry 26¢·10,042.8 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-868
$-868INV $2.6K · WR 65.5%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 30¢·8,107 shares·also $3.8K on NO
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-1050
$-1050INV $2.5K · WR 66.9%
M
Metusalem
Entry 37¢·3,950 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-795
$-795INV $1.5K · WR 64.4%
B
balthazar
Entry 33¢·2,739.8 shares
Invested
$898
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-432
$-432INV $898 · WR 72.2%
Showing top 10 of 191
NO Team
Total Invested
$106.5K
Avg Win Rate
70.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$13.5K(+12.7%)
Whales
202
X
xoua🥇
Entry 78¢·20,000 shares
Invested
$15.6K
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
+$1008
+$1008INV $15.6K · WR 68.4%
C
Car🥈
Entry 69¢·15,809.4 shares
Invested
$10.8K
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$2212
+$2212INV $10.8K · WR 64.9%
D
Dafri220286🥉
Entry 85¢·5,917.3 shares
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
$-148
$-148INV $5.1K · WR 90.0%
N
Needy-Retirement
Entry 77¢·6,519.9 shares
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
+$411
+$411INV $5.0K · WR 63.3%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 75¢·4,999.2 shares·also $2.5K on YES
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$351
+$351INV $3.8K · WR 66.9%
B
browne
Entry 87¢·4,305.8 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
$-167
$-167INV $3.7K · WR 75.5%
A
adenakoz1
Entry 75¢·4,800 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$393
+$393INV $3.6K · WR 56.6%
N
nchgbhy◆Proven
Entry 78¢·4,491.6 shares
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$202
+$202INV $3.5K · WR 83.3%
K
KrackenSruster
Entry 55¢·5,795.5 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
+$1623
+$1623INV $3.2K · WR 66.0%
A
alexhist
Entry 79¢·3,970.3 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$164
+$164INV $3.1K · WR 75.0%
Showing top 10 of 202
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 894ms