Outsmarter · Polymarket wallet 0x1b60…a55b

Wallet snapshot

Outsmarter has made 2,813 trades on Polymarket across 190 markets, $621K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (58%) and politics (16%). On 133 resolved markets the win rate is 72.9%, lifetime P&L +$75K. It holds 60 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Trump out as President before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $9,595 · 92¢ → 96¢
• Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No · $7,527 · 91¢ → 96¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No · $6,698 · 91¢ → 99¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No · $6,016 · 82¢ → 96¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No · $5,400 · 89¢ → 97¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No · $4,863 · 78¢ → 97¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $4,325 · 83¢ → 87¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes · $3,773 · 83¢ → 79¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No · $3,760 · 90¢ → 94¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No · $3,303 · 89¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No · $0 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$20 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes · +$231 · Oct 3, 2026
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No · +$65 · Oct 3, 2026
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No · +$302 · Oct 3, 2026
• Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No · +$67 · Oct 3, 2026

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