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Geopolitics81 days left

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$798.7K
8,145 trades
Smart Whales
307
of 1,951 traders

Smart Money Consensus

151 YESvs156 NO
49%51%
51% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 50 YES vs 71 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$9+2 new NO$120
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $112.7K is directional: YES $6.3K·NO $106.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$25.6K
Avg Win Rate
70.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$16.8K(-65.5%)
Whales
151
A
adonpoli🥇hedged
Entry 69¢·8,469.4 shares·also $2.7K on NO
$-5402INV $5.9K · WR 84.5%
J
JoeBlack01🥈hedged
Entry 129¢·1,896.1 shares·also $844 on NO
$-2336INV $2.4K · WR 60.0%
S
ScottyNooo🥉
Entry 28¢·8,140.6 shares
$-1838INV $2.3K · WR 56.0%
B
bizarroworldhedged
Entry 72¢·2,645.6 shares·also $675 on NO
$-1762INV $1.9K · WR 75.0%
N
needyourcashhedged
Entry 55¢·2,689 shares·also $1.1K on NO
$-1328INV $1.5K · WR 71.4%
M
MarcusInfernalhedged
Entry 74¢·1,634.5 shares·also $534 on NO
$-1116INV $1.2K · WR 59.5%
M
MyLossIsYourGain
Entry 35¢·2,708.7 shares
$-796INV $959 · WR 59.8%
T
Threadbare-Signal
Entry 13¢·4,695 shares
$-354INV $613 · WR 60.2%
C
Car
Entry 16¢·3,477 shares
$-377INV $568 · WR 64.9%
K
Kris-Future
Entry 27¢·2,000 shares
$-430INV $550 · WR 86.3%
Showing top 10 of 151

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 49% YES: Ukraine agree to cede territory…