tradervader · Polymarket wallet 0xd7e6…4f99

Wallet snapshot

tradervader has made 2,475 trades on Polymarket across 233 markets, $274K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (41%) and geopolitics (36%). On 150 resolved markets the win rate is 64.7%, lifetime P&L +$6,020. It holds 65 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?". Last trade: Sep 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $2,971 · 92¢ → 96¢
• Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?No · $2,558 · 93¢ → 95¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No · $1,895 · 93¢ → 93¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $1,354 · 86¢ → 92¢
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes · $1,320 · 91¢ → 94¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No · $1,253 · 95¢ → 95¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No · $1,158 · 94¢ → 97¢
• Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?No · $1,075 · 96¢ → 95¢
• Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No · $1,050 · 78¢ → 88¢
• Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No · $1,033 · 91¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes · +$68 · Oct 19, 2026
• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?No · +$42 · Oct 19, 2026
• Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?No · -$19 · Oct 1, 2026
• Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?No · +$38 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No · +$17 · Oct 1, 2026
• Tread FDV above $40M one day after launchYes · +$52 · Sep 24, 2026
• Tread FDV above $20M one day after launch

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