Serpentine-Flipflops · Polymarket wallet 0xc5a2…9981

Wallet snapshot

Serpentine-Flipflops has made 400 trades on Polymarket across 100 markets, $34K in volume. Most of it is in politics (51%) and geopolitics (37%). On 88 resolved markets the win rate is 56.8%, lifetime P&L +$1,124. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No · $3,134 · 89¢ → 97¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $1,658 · 84¢ → 96¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No · $1,522 · 92¢ → 95¢
• Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?No · $519 · 89¢ → 93¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $465 · 84¢ → 83¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?No · $407 · 90¢ → 92¢
• Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No · $385 · 94¢ → 96¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No · $217 · 86¢ → 94¢
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No · $123 · 93¢ → 95¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $10 · 98¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes · -$13 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Alberta join the US? No · +$2 · Sep 24, 2026
• Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$47 · Sep 21, 2026
• Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?No · +$72 · Sep 20, 2026
• Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?No · -$141 · Sep 17, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No · +$6 · Sep 9, 2026

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