Geopolitics81 days left

Iran leadership change by December 31?

YES Price
11¢
11% implied
NO Price
89¢
89% implied
Volume
$3.90M
32,767 trades
Smart Whales
531
of 4,476 traders · 9 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

240 YESvs300 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 29% YES by dollars · 123 YES vs 198 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+19 new YES$931+11 new NO$6.6K
$700 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
5 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1.6K of $402.0K is hedged across different prices by 9 wallets. True directional: YES $116.7K·NO $283.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 44% YES: Iran leadership change by December 31