Rolocex · Polymarket wallet 0x4e8b…1ea1

Wallet snapshot

Rolocex has made 2,949 trades on Polymarket across 599 markets, $423K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (42%) and politics (21%). On 566 resolved markets the win rate is 72.4%, lifetime P&L +$1,126. It holds 13 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $7,130 · 91¢ → 96¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $4,967 · 85¢ → 88¢
• Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No · $2,005 · 77¢ → 76¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No · $1,991 · 88¢ → 90¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $919 · 80¢ → 84¢
• Iran leadership change by November 30?No · $383 · 92¢ → 94¢
• Iran leadership change by October 31?No · $196 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $189 · 91¢ → 95¢
• Will Milady floor price reach 4 ETH before 2027?No · $40 · 91¢ → 85¢
• Will Milady floor price reach 6 ETH before 2027?No · $21 · 92¢ → 74¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$35 · Oct 6, 2026
• Iran leadership change by September 30?No · +$48 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No · +$21 · Oct 1, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No · +$39 · Sep 27, 2026
• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · +$39 · Sep 20, 2026
• Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$5 · Sep 14, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.